"First, the news just mentioned seems to be true. All the major merchants at the border ports must have heard the news and have simultaneously tightened the export of controlled materials. Even if you have an export permit, they will not ship it. At the same time, they have begun purchasing large quantities of pig iron, grain, finished medicines, ox horns, beef tendons, fish glue, flight feathers, and other materials. The prices of these materials have already increased by 20% and continue to rise."
"Secondly, according to intelligence from the Jinguancheng stronghold, the Xia Dynasty completely stopped exporting war horses and livestock products needed for bows and arrows. This is highly illogical. The Xia Dynasty's land was barren and resources were scarce, so the only commodities it could export were war horses and by-products of animal husbandry. Even during wartime, the Xia Dynasty would smuggle war horses abroad to obtain pig iron, raw silk, and other items. Therefore, although we haven't extended our intelligence network to the Xia Dynasty, we can be confident that the Xia Dynasty was also preparing for war."
"Third, currently, no country has declared a target or reason for war. Judging from the records of these four countries in previous wars, they are still in the stage of forming alliances and forming coalitions. Since they haven't yet determined their allies and enemies, they can only make preparations first, then gradually guide public opinion. Once the enemy and allies are determined, they will then announce the cause of war and start fighting."
"So, in general, it's true that a major war is coming, but war is no joke, and it's not something that can be declared today and started tomorrow."
At this point, Wang Zuo raised his voice, looked around at the crowd, and said confidently, "It takes time for each country to prepare, mobilization policies need to be implemented step by step, and supplies need time to be prepared. Therefore, after our analysis, we believe that the real war will not break out for at least a year. Any armed conflict before then can only be considered a prelude to this unprecedented war."
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