Chapter 183 Virtual Divination (First Update)
“The best opportunities are Bitcoin and Nvidia?”
Fang Yu also felt a little strange about this answer.
What's even more strange is that after flipping through a few pages of chat records, Fang Daqiang hoped that Orange Model would give reasons and explanations, but Orange Model was unable to provide specific basis for judgment. Instead, it evaded the question and explained to Fang Daqiang the principles of blockchain and the history of Bitcoin, and also attached a source of information on why GTX690 was called a tactical nuclear bomb.
Nvidia is easy to understand. With the rise of artificial intelligence, computing power has become the most important resource on the planet, and Nvidia has the strongest accumulation in GPU deep learning. Its market value will surely skyrocket in the future.
Fang Yu himself had anticipated this.
After all, he can launch a practical large-scale model to the market at any time. As long as this thing comes out, it will inevitably ignite the AI industry. At that time, Nvidia's absolute market value will soar.
Even if the Orange model wasn't mentioned, Fang Yu was also prepared to persuade his father to buy more Nvidia stocks, preferably to become a small shareholder or something.
But where does this Bitcoin come from?
Although blockchain technology has been very popular in the past two years, we just experienced a mining disaster two years ago.
Since the establishment of the Bitcoin exchange in 3057, it has experienced several rounds of rapid growth, from a low of 0.5 USD to a high of 1163 USD. However, after the world's largest BTC trading platform Mt. Gox suddenly declared bankruptcy at the beginning of last year, Bitcoin plummeted and fell to a low of 200 USD.
Even now, the price of Bitcoin is only 433 dollars, far from rebounding to its high point of that year.
After all, Fang Yu is not a reborn person, so it is impossible to predict how the future will develop.
However, he now has the arcane arts, and as long as he has enough time, he can make the future develop according to his own wishes.
"The conclusions given by this large orange model are quite interesting." Fang Daqiang pointed at the various analysis reports on the screen with great interest.
"I checked and found that the last time Bitcoin skyrocketed was in 3058, when Bitcoin had its first block halving. In a few months, Bitcoin skyrocketed 20 times."
“In just over six months, Bitcoin’s block reward will be halved again. I wonder if this will be the basis for AI’s judgment.”
impossible.
Fang Yu analyzed it in his mind. If this was the basis for judgment, the Orange Model would have given this answer instead of saying nothing.
"Yuzu, carefully check the basis for the answer just given by the Orange Model, and see what the logic of its answer is and what parameters it called." Fang Yu gave Yuzu an instruction through the Core of Esseron.
Sometimes big models do talk nonsense, but it is still a bit strange that they can talk nonsense about Bitcoin.
The financial data used to train the Orange model are mostly traditional financial transaction data such as stocks, funds, futures, and financial derivatives, with almost no blockchain content.
"Got it~" Youzi was watching "Diamond Lover" downstairs. Upon hearing Fang Yu's instructions, he reluctantly put down Gao Wen, who had been haunting him, and cheered himself up to start communicating with Orange.
The orange model is not just a big model. Its bottom layer is actually composed of the laws of the orange itself. It is a combination of digital technology and arcane magic.
From this perspective, grapefruit is both the parent of orange and the superior organism of orange, and has a natural suppressive power over orange.
"Huh? Why isn't this AI responding?" Fang Daqiang typed out a few words and clicked send, but he didn't receive any reply. There was only a circle spinning in the dialog box.
"It hasn't been officially released yet, so it's unstable." Fang Yu calmly disconnected the connection with the server.
Fang Daqiang stretched lazily, feeling unsatisfied. "Technology is developing so fast these days. The things that were only in science fiction movies when I was young are now reality."
"I still remember that more than a decade ago, there was a debate on Tianya about whether artificial intelligence was a false proposition and whether it was really possible to create artificial intelligence that could pass the Turing test."
“I never thought it would come true now.”
Fang Yu chuckled: "Dad, what you just said was an old man's sigh."
Fang Daqiang raised his leg and kicked.
"You guys are on vacation, right? Are you going to stay home today or not? What are your plans for New Year's Day?" Fang Daqiang put on his leather jacket and prepared to get off work. The chain on it clanked.
Fang Yu shook his head: "The school basketball team has training. There is an inter-school invitational match with Jinan University on the 3rd, so they have to train during the holidays."
Fang Daqiang's interest was piqued. "Jinda? Jinda from Yingzhou? Have you joined the school team? What time is the game on the 3rd? Where is it? I'll go and see it then."
Fang Yu didn't care: "Two-thirty in the afternoon, Donghai Gymnasium."
"Haixi team's home stadium? Such a high standard?" Fang Daqiang was a little surprised, and guessed in his heart that his son would probably just be a substitute there.
But has this guy grown taller? He used to be only a centimeter or two taller than me, but now he looks almost half a head taller than me?
Fang Daqiang picked up the car keys, and the father and son entered the elevator one after the other.
"How's it? Cool, right?" As soon as they arrived at the underground garage, Fang Daqiang pointed at a bright red motorcycle parked in the spacious parking space. "Ducati 1299, displacement 1285cc, just arrived in Hong Kong a week ago."
Fang Yu watched his father take out a helmet and protective gear from the bag, and in the blink of an eye he transformed into a middle-aged ghost fire.
No wonder there are more and more young ladies riding motorcycles now. It turns out that all the rich guys are riding motorcycles.
"Put this on." Fang Yu casually threw something to Fang Daqiang.
Fang Daqiang took it and looked at it. It was a necklace with a unique shape.
The chain and pendant are both made of an unknown black metal. The pendant is in the shape of a shield, with a blue crystal in the center and strange runes engraved all around it, which matches her outfit quite well.
As expected, his son understood his preferences. Fang Daqiang put the necklace around his neck with a look of satisfaction.
Only when he saw his father wearing the Guardian Type 7 Amulet did Fang Yu breathe a sigh of relief.
The Guardian Type 7 Amulet is a standard alchemical product produced by the Piedmont Alchemy Company. It can automatically release a layer of energy shield on the human body surface in the event of an emergency, reducing the risk of injury to the user. Ordinary people can also use it.
The one Fang Yu bought is a model for underage guardianship. It was specially made by Piedmont Alchemy Company for rebellious teenagers. Once you put it on, you will not think of taking it off on your own initiative.
The main purpose is to prevent naughty children from being disobedient.
My dad loves to play too much. Other cars are fine, but this motorcycle is too prone to accidents.
Don't let the time pass when mom hasn't resurrected yet and you have to start collecting materials to resurrect dad.
Lao Deng put on his helmet, started the engine, waved in what he thought was a very cool gesture, lay down on the car, and drove away in a flash.
Fang Yu shook his head, found his car, opened the door, and saw the silver light on Youzi's body flashing continuously.
"How is it? Any results?" Fang Yu started the car and drove out of the parking space.
"Master, most of Orange's answers just now were within the normal parameter adjustment range and consistent with the training results." Yuzu paused, "But the predicted answer just now did have some unexpected changes."
"What changes?" Fang Yu frowned. He was always wary of artificial intelligence. If it weren't for the fact that the Orange Model was also completely controlled by the Core of Eseron, he might never have announced this thing.
"You previously asked what the best investment opportunities are in the next ten years. This question seems to have touched upon the underlying mechanism of Orange."
"After receiving this question, Orange began to mobilize its underlying laws, leveraging all its computing power and performing a simulated 'divination' based on the data within the model."
Fang Yu slammed on the brakes and stopped by the roadside. "Are you saying it cast a spell on its own? How did it mobilize the nodes of the magic network? 'Divination' is only a second-level prophecy spell. How can it possibly predict the direction of development ten years from now?"
A white light flashed around Yuzu's body. "No, you misunderstood. It didn't mobilize the magic network nodes. It simulated a divination spell. To be more precise, it used 196 GPUs to simulate a casting environment."
"Then it combines its own data and performs 'divination' on it. The answer it submits is the result of this virtual 'divination', not the result converged by the Orange model through the neural network."
"In fact, when I answer certain questions, I also refer to the results of real divination."
"To put it simply, in order to answer this question, Orange built a virtual world within a computer system and performed a virtual spell within this virtual world."
"This virtual spell, based on all the data within this virtual world, allows Orange to see some glimpses of this virtual world ten years into the virtual timeline. Then, based on these glimpses, Orange provides the answer to the question above."
"Normally, there are three main approaches to answering questions: The first is dominant data analysis, which involves analyzing all the data in the existing dataset, finding the most dominant conclusion, and using that conclusion to answer the question."
"The advantage of this method is that it requires less computation and responds faster. Most responses are based on this approach."
"The second path is based on reasoning and logical analysis of the entire data set. This is the limit of what we currently envision strong artificial intelligence can achieve in terms of logical reasoning. It involves mobilizing all existing data sets, conducting comprehensive logical analysis and reasoning, and ultimately reaching a conclusion."
"This approach is more suitable for studying specific problems, identifying more possible paths and analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of various paths."
"The disadvantages are that it requires too much computation, takes too long to respond, and consumes a lot of energy. Furthermore, for prediction problems, it can only determine which possibility is better, not which one is the most likely."
"The third path is simulation based on a virtual environment. This involves building a virtual world that closely resembles reality within the system, conducting simulations within the virtual world, and inferring what changes will occur in the future by adjusting the evolution and timeline of the virtual world."
"In this way, the more realistic and rich the data in the large model dataset, the more realistic the virtual world will be, and the more accurate the deduction results will be."
"For prediction problems, this path is the most accurate one."
"This method requires too much computing power and is currently only suitable for building relatively small virtual environments for deduction."
Fang Yu frowned. "Are you saying that Orange just used this method to answer the question? It deduced the answer in the virtual world for ten years and then gave the deduced result?"
Yuzu blinked. "No, it's not, Master. The computing power required for this method far exceeds the computing power currently possessed by Yuzu Technology."
“It should be said that even if all the computing power of Bluestar were added together, it would not be able to truly meet the requirements of this method.”
"Especially the deduction part of the virtual world. According to my calculations, even if the current computing power is increased ten million times, it would not be enough to simulate this kind of evolution. Not even my original body can provide such computing power."
"In this case, to answer this question, when the Orange Big Model discovered that computing power was insufficient to support virtual deduction, it made some adjustments to the third path based on the principle of reliability first and efficiency second."
"It uses the factor extraction and screening methods of our previously optimized strong factor model to extract only the key data in the body and use the existing data in the body to simulate an extremely simple world."
“It doesn’t drive the evolution of the world’s timeline, because even a simple world with only a few representative factors is beyond the reach of current computing power.”
"So, after constructing a simple virtual world, it uses virtual 'divination' within this virtual world to divine the static virtual world. Finally, the results of the virtual 'divination' are fed back to the terminal as the answer to the question."
Fang Yu finally understood.
I see.
No wonder the Orange Model couldn't give a specific explanation for the answer; it turned out to be a result of fortune-telling.
This way I can feel at ease, and I can also open source the architecture of Orange Big Model 0.12 at the appropriate time.
As long as the underlying laws of the open source model are modified, prohibiting it from calling the arcane laws within the body and only allowing it to call normal parameters, then all models using this open source model will not find anything wrong with the model, and these model applications will be controlled by Yuzu and himself!
Wait, if that's the case, then the role that this virtual 'divination' can play in technology is far more than just answering questions.
It's not even just AI.
Fang Yu thought carefully in his mind, restarted the car and drove towards Guoli.
No matter what, let’s develop AI first.
Fang Yu went to have dinner with Tang Yufei. When he arrived at the company, it was already ten o'clock in the evening, but almost everyone was still gathered together, working overtime in the company.
"Why haven't you left yet?" Fang Yu shed capitalist crocodile tears. "I saw on TeamPulse that everyone has completed their workload, and you're not getting overtime pay. What are you doing here? Tomorrow is New Year's Day, and you're not going home yet?"
TeamPulse is an internal workflow management platform developed by Youzi based on the OKR principle, which can show everyone's progress of the day in real time.
"Boss! You've arrived just in time, come and take a look! This is definitely a breakthrough!"
Hua Zecheng looked up excitedly: "Just now, the Orange model only completed one round of training and defeated the professional chess player on the chess course!"
"Oh?" Fang Yu also became interested. "When did you start training?"
"Yesterday." Lu Si was also very excited, his eyes shining. "Yesterday, Teacher Hua and I were playing chess in the dormitory, and I caught Teacher Hua cheating with Zen..."
Hua Zecheng argued: "I was answering the questions correctly, not cheating!"
Lu Si ignored him and continued, "It suddenly occurred to us that we could use Go to train the Orange model and see how well it performs in deep neural networks."
"We scraped tens of thousands of chess records from the internet and fed them to Orange. This morning, we tested it with Orange, and we couldn't beat it in any of them. So we even put it on Yicheng, and it's already won 10 games in a row. One of them was a professional 3rd dan, but he gave up mid-game!"
Hua Zecheng glanced at the screen and showed a regretful expression: "But now it's Gu Jie who is connected, and it seems that the orange is a bit difficult to download."
Gu Jie?
The world's number one Gu Jie?
"There's no way. Gu Jie is too strong. He's the pinnacle of human chess skills. His chess skills are also included in the chess records that Orange has learned. If I want to surpass him, I may need to study for a few more rounds." Lu Si's confidence was firm.
Fang Yu thought for a moment and said, "Next time, let's try using an adversarial network. Don't feed Orange with human chess records. Just tell the rules to the two large models and let them learn on their own."
Lu Si and Hua Zecheng's eyes lit up.
(End of this chapter)
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