Chapter 282: Stuck in the Neck (First Update)
The cost of training once is nearly 100 million yuan, but it is not a problem for all the Internet giants present.
Even for Apple, which has not invested much in the field of AI, its annual R&D funding in the field has been more than 500 million US dollars since three years ago, and last year's investment exceeded 1.1 billion.
Google, which has invested the most, has conservatively estimated that its annual R&D expenditure in the AI field has exceeded 2 billion US dollars in the past three years, and last year it reached 3.2 billion US dollars.
This is just R&D funding, not operating costs.
Just to acquire DeepMind two years ago, Google spent more than 500 million dollars, and the financial support it provided to DeepMind afterwards was countless.
Now, almost all of these investments have gone to waste.
Because the first usable AGI has actually been born.
The AI industry is a winner-takes-all industry.
Of course, the winner does not refer to the company, but to the technology.
Just because a company develops technology that can achieve AGI doesn’t mean it can take over all the AGI business in the world.
Faced with this technology that can change the world, no country will be obsessed with patent laws and intellectual property rights.
There may be more than one path to achieve AGI, perhaps countless, but as long as someone succeeds in one, all researchers and large companies that are currently taking other paths will quickly turn to the path of AGI that has already been achieved.
With a limit on resource investment, AI evolves in months or even days. If you are one year late, the performance gap between you and your competitors may be an order of magnitude.
An order of magnitude is enough to fail in any market competition.
In the business world, there is no such thing as willingness or unwillingness. Any similar breakthrough made by any company will be followed by other large companies.
But using your technology does not mean that you, the original creator, will be able to come in and share a piece of the pie.
Therefore, neither Google nor Facebook wants a disruptor like Youzi Technology to appear in the Malaysian market.
As for the officials of Maiguo, they also do not want Youzi Technology to appear in Maiguo, no, it should be said that it does not want to appear in the market outside of Dazhou.
The only problem is that if Yuzu Technology is banned, will it be strangled in the opposite direction, ultimately weakening the competitiveness of the country itself?
At this point, there is a considerable difference of opinion among these giants.
Giants like Amazon, Google, and Facebook, which have no related businesses in Da Zhou and have already made huge investments in the field of AI, will of course pat their chests and guarantee that after obtaining the source code of the Orange Big Model, even if they are currently lagging behind, it will not be long before they will be able to surpass Da Zhou's progress in AI again.
Miami has money, technology, the most developed science and education system in the world, and talents from all over the world. As long as we know the principles, I believe we will be able to surpass Youzi Technology in a short period of time.
The attitudes of Xiaoruan and Guoguo are much more ambiguous.
Firstly, they have deep conflicts of interest in the Great Zhou.
Secondly, they are all product-oriented companies, and AI is just a component that empowers their products.
Their sense of crisis about the rise of Youzi Technology is far less sensitive than that of technology companies like Google and Facebook that have heavily invested in AI.
Even if Youzi Technology defeats Google and Facebook, so what? I can just cooperate with Youzi Technology. It’s just a matter of changing suppliers.
Therefore, their attitude is more focused on not allowing Youzi Technology to acquire Maiguo chip companies and related high-tech entities.
Just as the topic was getting more and more off-topic, a voice that had been silent interrupted everyone's discussion.
"I just have one question. If Yuzu Technology isn't allowed to enter the Maiguo market, what if, and I mean what if, they eventually achieve ASI? Without oversight, who will guarantee that this ASI they create won't destroy the world?"
"You know, real-world AI isn't limited by the so-called Three Laws of Robotics."
As everyone focused their attention, Elon Musk's eyes flickered with an ambiguous light.
ASI is the abbreviation of artificial super intelligence.
If Iron Man's Jarvis is AGI, then ASI is Ultron from the Avengers, Skynet from Terminator, the Matrix, Sophon from the Trisolaran film, and Cortana from Halo.
"During the internal testing phase of the Orange Big Model, I did some calculations. If we continue with the current pace of development of the Orange Big Model, and if we have sufficient computing power and energy, in ten years at most, no, maybe just eight years, the number of AI parameters could exceed the number of human synapses."
“The birth of ASI is inevitable.”
"The only difference is, after the birth of ASI, will it help humans, destroy humans, or will it first help humans and then destroy humans as it develops?"
"Even if human society isn't destroyed, what kind of changes will occur after the emergence of ASI?"
"If we completely exclude PUZI Technology from the Miami market, will we completely lose control of PUZI Technology's ASI progress?"
"Juzi-2.5, which will be launched the day after tomorrow, already has 300 billion parameters. Can anyone guarantee that this is their latest technology? Who knows the level of the most advanced large-scale models in their labs?"
"If they really develop ASI in a few years, how can we resist them when we have completely isolated them and have no idea about our adversary?"
"Gentlemen, you all know that I'm not exaggerating. I believe this is the most important issue to consider, rather than whether or not to exclude Youzi Technology from the Miami market."
What Musk said was very sci-fi, but his expression was extremely serious.
After hearing Musk's words, everyone present was silent for a while.
This topic is actually a topic that all AI practitioners do not want to face.
After the birth of AGI, will ASI be born?
Definitely.
Although many people will use bottlenecks such as computing power and energy to comfort and deceive the general public who are confused.
But for these practitioners, everyone understands that once the curtain of the era is opened, these problems will be easily solved and will not be obstacles at all.
AI companies have been claiming that alignment technology can solve the security issues of artificial intelligence, but this is simply self-deception and self-consolation.
But who in this world is not deceiving themselves?
Most Western countries, apart from populist issues that can win votes, adopt the "four-level tactics" summarized in the Anglo-American drama when facing many difficult problems.
Stage 1: We declare that nothing happened.
Stage 2: We say maybe something is going on, but we shouldn’t take action.
Stage 3: Maybe we should take action, but nothing can be done.
Stage 4: Maybe we could have done something, but now it's too late.
Obviously, the AI issue is currently unrelated to votes, while the technological threat from the Great Zhou is linked to populism and is closely related to votes.
"Cough!" John Holdren, director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy, coughed lightly.
"Mr. Musk, what we are discussing today is not the safety of AI, nor is it about when ASI will emerge."
"What we need to determine is whether Maiguo has fallen behind in this technological revolution? Do we need to take restrictive measures against Youzi Technology and other high-tech companies related to Dazhou? And what measures can be used to curb their development?"
After John Holdren finished speaking, Commerce Secretary Penny Pritzker added:
"The Security Council will compile a report on the content and results of today's discussions and submit it to the President. This report will determine whether the authority of CFIUS (Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States) should be expanded."
She is a member of the Pritzker family in Chicago. Hyatt Hotels Corporation is her family's business, and her family also owns several large loan sharking companies.
"At last week's Senate Judiciary Committee hearing, several members expressed similar concerns. Your Excellency the President needs the necessary information to determine whether to invoke your authority and issue a temporary ban on Youzi Technology's products and technologies."
"Of course, with the election approaching, the president is reluctant to change existing policies easily. Therefore, this meeting will not only provide reference for the current government, but will also have an impact on the corresponding policies of the next government."
White House Chief of Staff Dennis McDonough made a subtle statement on behalf of President Obama: My term is about to end, don't give me any trouble, just go and lobby Hillary.
"If that's the case, I don't think you have anything to worry about." Musk spread his hands, "If you can return your phone to me, I can show you an email now."
According to regulations, mobile phones were required to be handed in during the closed-door meeting in the Situation Room on the basement floor of the West Wing of the White House. However, with the permission of the meeting host, National Security Advisor Susan Rice, Elon Musk was able to get his iPhone and, with the help of White House security personnel, project an email onto the big screen.
"Last weekend, Tesla expressed its intention to cooperate with Youzi Technology in the field of autonomous driving."
"The visual and intuitive systems of the beta version of the Orange Big Model can help Tesla achieve the evolution of autonomous driving from L2.5 to L3 and L4."
“Tesla hopes that Yuzu Technology can provide targeted debugging and explanation of the hyperparameters of the visual and intuitive systems in the Orange model.”
"But unfortunately, the other party directly rejected our request for cooperation."
"And they have been very vocal about not doing AI business in Miami."
"After a series of discussions, we learned that while Youzi Technology will not prohibit Maiguo Enterprise from using the open-source Orange Big Model, it will also not provide Maiguo Enterprise with any technical support or additional services."
"In subsequent email exchanges, the other party clearly expressed concern and caution about the trend of expanding CFIUS power."
"I think it is not a wise choice to increase investment in Miami at this stage."
"Ladies and gentlemen, the men of Capitol Hill, times have changed."
"Does your Cold War mentality need to change as well?"
“Maybe it’s not a question of whether we allow the other party to do business, but whether the other party opens up the latest technology to us.”
"In other words, Miami is being strangled."
Musk put his ten fingers together and made a circle.
(End of this chapter)
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