Chapter 343 The bear market is coming again?
Thursday, November 14, 2024.
Jisilu temperature: 26.7, Shanghai Composite Index: 3429.51 points.
In early November, the Shanghai Composite Index rose for several days and directly hit 3500 points.
Just when many investors thought that the stock would continue to break the previous high,
The Shanghai Composite Index began to retreat, and has fallen from around 3500 points for four consecutive days.
Today, it fell another -1.73%,
The market sentiment has become dull from the highs of the past few days.
Many people, looking at the sectors that are all in the red, can't help but have a thought in their minds - "Bear market, is it coming again?"
When a thought arises, fear arises.
Before this, the memory of suffering the cruel torture of the bear market for a full three years couldn't help but rise to my mind, making me shudder.
Now is the time to test your faith.
Is to believe that the future is a bull market,
Still believe that the future will be a bear market?
Fellow investors, what do you think?
1. The U.S. CPI increased by 2.6% year-on-year in October, while the core CPI increased by 3.3% year-on-year.
Judging from the data, inflation data has not fallen back.
And since Trump "will" implement trade protectionism, many people expect that inflation in the United States will continue to expand in the future.
It can be inferred from this that the pace of future interest rate cuts in the United States will become slower and slower, or even stop.
Affected by this, commodity prices plummeted again. LME copper directly fell below $9,000, and other varieties also fell sharply, some of which were terrible.
During the interest rate cut cycle,
And in the reality that there is still a high probability of interest rate cuts in December, the Americans are so proficient in playing money games.
It's truly breathtaking.
2. In the domestic real estate market, the deed tax and land value-added tax were reduced.
After the United States entered the interest rate cut cycle, my country is focusing on stability and is slowly releasing funds.
Sooner or later, this water will flow into all walks of life and bring new opportunities.
Real estate is the mother of all industries. If this industry is revitalized, many industries can be revitalized and the downward trend of the real estate industry chain can be firmly supported.
3. my country's annual production of new energy vehicles exceeded 10 million for the first time.
Now, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles has exceeded 50%.
Next year, it is very likely that the growth rate will accelerate and directly exceed 65% or even 75%.
Many OEMs operating fuel vehicles have already suffered losses or are on the verge of losses.
If we don't turn to new energy immediately,
So, it will be GG next year.
Next year will be a year of great chaos.
This year is just the beginning.
Next year will also be a year of large-scale overseas exports of automobiles.
In order to survive, companies that fail in domestic competition
In order to make profits, the companies that have won the domestic competition
They will go overseas together and devour the foreign automobile market.
Today's market plummeted. Among the more than 5,000 stocks in the market, more than 4,000 fell. The hot stocks in the early stage were almost wiped out.
The entire market is lackluster.
Shareholders exchange:
1. "Li Yunbiao who likes fir": "We should have bought them together at that time... We had the knowledge but not the execution, which means we didn't make any money."
Humans are not gods, and they always have their own cognitive limitations.
This is normal.
The fundamental reason why the execution is not in place is the lack of awareness.
The same goes for bloggers.
Bloggers often have limited knowledge, even now, and make many mistakes. They have also suffered many blows from the market.
Therefore, everyone should be cautious when copying homework and have their own opinions and judgments.
2. "Counter-killing":
"What does the author think of the insurance sector? The insurance sector is obviously stronger than the broader market, but looking at the K-line, it seems that it has been adjusting. I was also trapped 10 points from the highest point."
It is better not to chase high prices when investing. Left-side trading is much more active than right-side trading.
As for the insurance sector, I am cautiously optimistic.
3. "Dao Haoyang who likes Sichuan Baizhi": "Various metal futures are in a downward channel, but not so fast to nonferrous metals."
really.
I really didn't expect that the Americans are so good at manipulating finance, and they have all kinds of expectations and controls.
I'm also a little drunk.
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